ERCOT ERCOT Panhandle — Curtailment Risk
Real-time Curtailment Severity Score (CSS) for the ERCOT Panhandle zone, tracking negative price hours and generation curtailment over a 7-Day rolling window.
What is the curtailment risk in ERCOT panhandle zone?
The 7-Day Curtailment Severity Score (CSS) for ERCOT ERCOT Panhandle is 90/100, rated as "High" risk. Over this period, there were 45 negative price hours and 0.9% of generation was curtailed.
Key Data Points
- CSS Score: 90/100
- Risk Band: High
- Negative Price Hours: 45
- Curtailed MWh Share: 0.9%
Risk Analysis: ERCOT Panhandle
The ERCOT Panhandle zone is experiencing elevated curtailment stress. With 45 negative price hours in the past 7-day window, operators should consider power purchase agreements (PPAs) with explicit curtailment provisions or explore behind-the-meter (BTM) solutions to hedge against grid instability.
Historical Context
ERCOT has seen a significant increase in renewable generation, particularly wind in the West, Panhandle, and Far West zones. This has led to periodic negative pricing when wind generation exceeds demand. Data centers with flexible load profiles can exploit these periods for low-cost inference processing.
The 'Grid Bottleneck' Report
- The 5 substations in Ohio that still have capacity.
- Why ERCOT Panhandle is a curtailment trap.
- Full CSS timeseries for all ERCOT zones.
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