CSS Risk Monitor • 90-Day Window

ERCOT ERCOT Panhandle — Curtailment Risk

Real-time Curtailment Severity Score (CSS) for the ERCOT Panhandle zone, tracking negative price hours and generation curtailment over a 90-Day rolling window.

Summary186 Data Sources

What is the curtailment risk in ERCOT panhandle zone?

The 90-Day Curtailment Severity Score (CSS) for ERCOT ERCOT Panhandle is 64/100, rated as "Medium" risk. Over this period, there were 384 negative price hours and 0.6% of generation was curtailed.

Key Data Points

  • CSS Score: 64/100
  • Risk Band: Medium
  • Negative Price Hours: 384
  • Curtailed MWh Share: 0.6%
64
Medium Risk
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Risk Analysis: ERCOT Panhandle

Curtailment risk in ERCOT Panhandle is moderate. While not critical, 384 negative price hours indicate periodic oversupply, particularly during wind events. Factor curtailment clauses into any long-term lease agreements.

Historical Context

ERCOT has seen a significant increase in renewable generation, particularly wind in the West, Panhandle, and Far West zones. This has led to periodic negative pricing when wind generation exceeds demand. Data centers with flexible load profiles can exploit these periods for low-cost inference processing.

Critical Market Intelligence

The 'Grid Bottleneck' Report

  • The 5 substations in Ohio that still have capacity.
  • Why ERCOT Panhandle offers arbitrage opportunities.
  • Full CSS timeseries for all ERCOT zones.

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